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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andy Ogle vs Denis Andreev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andy Ogle
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Andy Ogle

“The Little Axe”

9-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
144 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andy OgleNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Denis AndreevNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
1.44
Takedown avg.
Not available
27%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
58%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Andy OgleDenis Andreev
1500155016002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
3 (33%)
Submission
1 (33%)
4 (44%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Andy Ogle55%
Denis Andreev 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andy Ogle a 55% favorite over Denis Andreev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denis Andreev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1557), separated by just 1 points.

Andy Ogle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Denis Andreev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Andy Ogle finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Denis Andreev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.