Combat Edge Intelligence

Angel Pacheco vs Santiago Luna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Start BJJ· 1613 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1683 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

Santiago Luna is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Angel Pacheco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Angel PachecoNow 1569
If they win+20→ 1589
If they lose-12→ 1557
Santiago LunaNow 1662
If they win+18→ 1680
If they lose-30→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.50
Sig. strikes / min
8.20
39%
Strike accuracy
55%
11.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
41%
Strike defense
72%
0
Takedown avg.
4.21
0%
Takedown accuracy
83%
29%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Angel PachecoSantiago Luna
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
2 (29%)
Submission
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Luna79%
Angel Pacheco 21%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Luna a 79% favorite over Angel Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Santiago Luna holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1662 to 1569, a 93-point edge.

Angel Pacheco enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Angel Pacheco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Luna 88%.

Santiago Luna carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.