Combat Edge Intelligence

Angela Hill vs Luana Pinheiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Angela Hill
us

Angela Hill

“Overkill”

19-16-0StrawweightUFC

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

19-16-0Record11-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
64"Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Angela Hill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Luana Pinheiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Angela HillNow 1631
If they win+11→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1618
Luana PinheiroNow 1606
If they win+17→ 1623
If they lose-15→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.03
60%
Strike defense
62%
0.75
Takedown avg.
1.80
30%
Takedown accuracy
33%
73%
Takedown defense
69%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Angela HillLuana Pinheiro
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (50%)
13 (68%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Angela Hill60%
Luana Pinheiro 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Angela Hill a 60% favorite over Luana Pinheiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Angela Hill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1606, a 25-point edge.

Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Angela Hill finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Luana Pinheiro 70%.

Angela Hill carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.