Combat Edge Intelligence

Angela Hill vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Angela Hill
us

Angela Hill

“Overkill”

19-16-0StrawweightUFC

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

19-16-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'1"
64"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Tecia Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Angela Hill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Angela HillNow 1631
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+15→ 1673
If they lose-17→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
60%
Strike defense
62%
0.75
Takedown avg.
0.54
30%
Takedown accuracy
14%
73%
Takedown defense
62%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Angela HillTecia Pennington
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (7%)
13 (68%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Tecia Pennington60%
Angela Hill 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Tecia Pennington a 60% favorite over Angela Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Tecia Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1631, a 27-point edge.

Angela Hill finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Angela Hill and Tecia Pennington share 4 common opponents: Tabatha Ricci, Luana Pinheiro, Denise Gomes and Mackenzie Dern.

Angela Hill carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Denise Gomes
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
WinSubmission · 2024
Luana Pinheiro
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Tabatha Ricci
LossDecision - Split · 2024
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Mackenzie Dern
LossDecision (split) · 2022