Anna Melisano vs Dione Barbosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record10-4-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach 66"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG AlabamaTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Dione Barbosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Anna Melisano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1616
If they lose-21→ 1568
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anna MelisanoDione Barbosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dione Barbosa53%
Anna Melisano 47%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Dione Barbosa a 53% favorite over Anna Melisano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Dione Barbosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1589, a 45-point edge.
Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Anna Melisano finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Dione Barbosa 50%.
Anna Melisano carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.