Antônio César vs Joshua Perreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record6-0-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1613 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamImmortal Martial Arts Center
What's at stake
Antônio César is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Joshua Perreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-19→ 1680
If they win+28→ 1666
If they lose-20→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antônio CésarJoshua Perreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antônio César68%
Joshua Perreira 32%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Antônio César a 68% favorite over Joshua Perreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Antônio César holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1638, a 61-point edge.
Antônio César enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Joshua Perreira enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Antônio César finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Perreira 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.