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Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio Monteiro vs Herbert Burns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record11-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach 73"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio MonteiroNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Herbert BurnsNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.86
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.17
Not available
Strike defense
42%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.94
Not available
Takedown accuracy
35%
Not available
Takedown defense
67%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.84

Trajectory

Antônio MonteiroHerbert Burns
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
6 (35%)
Submission
8 (73%)
8 (47%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Herbert Burns59%
Antônio Monteiro 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Herbert Burns a 59% favorite over Antônio Monteiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Antônio Monteiro finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Herbert Burns 82%.

Herbert Burns carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.