Anthony Figueroa vs Diego Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-8-1Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFive Rounds
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony FigueroaDiego Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Costa59%
Anthony Figueroa 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Costa a 59% favorite over Anthony Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1539), separated by just 3 points.
Anthony Figueroa finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Diego Costa 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.