Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hernandez vs Brunno Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record15-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony HernandezNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Brunno FerreiraNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
61%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.75
51%
Strike defense
52%
5.88
Takedown avg.
1
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
68%
Takedown defense
50%
1.63
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Anthony HernandezBrunno Ferreira
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
9 (60%)
Submission
5 (33%)
3 (20%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Hernandez60%
Brunno Ferreira 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Hernandez a 60% favorite over Brunno Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1723), separated by just 1 points.

Anthony Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brunno Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Brunno Ferreira 93%.

Anthony Hernandez and Brunno Ferreira share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.

Anthony Hernandez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
Gregory Rodrigues
LossKO · 2026
WinKO/TKO · 2023