Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record19-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1756
If they lose-15→ 1724
If they win+11→ 1776
If they lose-13→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HernandezGregory Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues53%
Anthony Hernandez 47%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 53% favorite over Anthony Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1739, a 26-point edge.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 79%.
Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues share 1 common opponent: Roman Kopylov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.