Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0 Record 19-6-0
Middleweight Division Middleweight
6'0" Height 6'3"
75" Reach 75"
185 lbs Weight 185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight Team Team Kill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony HernandezNow 1738
If they win+17→ 1755
If they lose-15→ 1723
Gregory RodriguesNow 1765
If they win+11→ 1776
If they lose-13→ 1752

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
5.53
61%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
4.78
51%
Strike defense
51%
5.88
Takedown avg.
1.90
0%
Takedown accuracy
16%
68%
Takedown defense
75%
1.63
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Anthony Hernandez Gregory Rodrigues
1700 1750 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
9 (60%)
Submission
3 (16%)
3 (20%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregory Rodrigues51%
Anthony Hernandez49%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 51% favorite over Anthony Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1738, a 27-point edge.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 79%.

Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues share 1 common opponent: Roman Kopylov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Submission · 2024
Roman Kopylov
Win Decision (unanimous) · 2025