Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1742
If they lose-14→ 1710
If they win+10→ 1788
If they lose-14→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HernandezGregory Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues61%
Anthony Hernandez 39%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 61% favorite over Anthony Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1778 to 1724, a 54-point edge.
Anthony Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 75%.
Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues share 1 common opponent: Roman Kopylov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.