Anthony Ivy vs Bryan Barberena
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record18-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach72"
176 lbsWeight185 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGym-O
What's at stake
Anthony Ivy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bryan Barberena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1667
If they lose-17→ 1635
If they win+13→ 1640
If they lose-11→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony IvyBryan Barberena
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryan Barberena54%
Anthony Ivy 46%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryan Barberena a 54% favorite over Anthony Ivy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Ivy's way (46%).
Anthony Ivy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1627, a 25-point edge.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anthony Ivy finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Bryan Barberena 72%.
Anthony Ivy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.