Anthony Johnson vs Chad Reiner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record35-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78''ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPremier Combat Center
What's at stake
Anthony Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Chad Reiner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1836
If they lose-20→ 1812
If they win+20→ 1549
If they lose-4→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony JohnsonChad Reiner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Johnson84%
Chad Reiner 16%Elo baseline: 85%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Johnson a 84% favorite over Chad Reiner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (85%).
Anthony Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1529, a 303-point edge.
Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Chad Reiner 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.