Anthony Lapsley vs Christopher Alvidrez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647
If they win+24→ 1684
If they lose-24→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony LapsleyChristopher Alvidrez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christopher Alvidrez70%
Anthony Lapsley 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Alvidrez a 70% favorite over Anthony Lapsley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.
Anthony Lapsley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Christopher Alvidrez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Anthony Lapsley finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Christopher Alvidrez 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.