Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Pettis vs Benson Henderson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record30-13-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72,5"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RoufusportTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Benson Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anthony Pettis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony PettisNow 1680
If they win+13→ 1693
If they lose-11→ 1669
Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+11→ 1730
If they lose-13→ 1706

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
48%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.79
54%
Strike defense
64%
0.61
Takedown avg.
2.40
50%
Takedown accuracy
46%
60%
Takedown defense
64%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.79

Trajectory

Anthony PettisBenson Henderson
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (17%)
8 (32%)
Submission
9 (30%)
6 (24%)
Decision
16 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Benson Henderson70%
Anthony Pettis 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Benson Henderson a 70% favorite over Anthony Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Benson Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1680, a 39-point edge.

Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Benson Henderson 47%.

Anthony Pettis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.