Anthony Smith vs Roman Dolidze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-22-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
76"Reach 76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Roman Dolidze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Anthony Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1687
If they lose-11→ 1663
If they win+14→ 1722
If they lose-18→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony SmithRoman Dolidze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Dolidze73%
Anthony Smith 27%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Dolidze a 73% favorite over Anthony Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Roman Dolidze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1674, a 34-point edge.
Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roman Dolidze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Smith finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Roman Dolidze 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.