Anthony Smith vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-22-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Factory XTeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Volkan Oezdemir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Anthony Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-10→ 1664
If they win+14→ 1734
If they lose-18→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony SmithVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Volkan Oezdemir59%
Anthony Smith 41%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Volkan Oezdemir a 59% favorite over Anthony Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Volkan Oezdemir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1674, a 46-point edge.
Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Smith finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Anthony Smith and Volkan Oezdemir share 2 common opponents: Johnny Walker and Magomed Ankalaev.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.