Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Wint vs Matt Adams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Matt Adams
us

Matt Adams

“Bad”

6-2-0HeavyweightOCL

1584Solid

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-Reach74"
238 lbsWeight263 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRaw MMA

What's at stake

Anthony Wint is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Matt Adams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony WintNow 1637
If they win+20→ 1657
If they lose-28→ 1609
Matt AdamsNow 1584
If they win+28→ 1612
If they lose-20→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Anthony WintMatt Adams
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
1 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Wint59%
Matt Adams 41%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Wint a 59% favorite over Matt Adams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Anthony Wint holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1584, a 53-point edge.

Anthony Wint enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Anthony Wint finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Matt Adams 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.