Anthony Wint vs Matt Adams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record6-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height5'10"
78"Reach75"
238 lbsWeight263 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRaw MMA
What's at stake
Anthony Wint is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Matt Adams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1722
If they lose-34→ 1674
If they win+34→ 1592
If they lose-14→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony WintMatt Adams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Wint80%
Matt Adams 20%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Wint a 80% favorite over Matt Adams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Anthony Wint holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1558, a 150-point edge.
Anthony Wint enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Anthony Wint finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Matt Adams 83%.
Anthony Wint carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.