Antoine Chaput vs Dom Mar Fan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1655
If they lose-24→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antoine ChaputDom Mar Fan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Antoine Chaput and Dom Mar Fan within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.
Antoine Chaput enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Antoine Chaput finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Dom Mar Fan 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.