Combat Edge Intelligence

Anton Turkalj vs Ivan Erslan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Anton Turkalj
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Anton Turkalj

“The Pleasure Man”

8-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1600Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
78"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
GBG MMATeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anton TurkaljNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Ivan ErslanNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.45
Sig. strikes / min
2.55
43%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.01
54%
Strike defense
54%
4.98
Takedown avg.
0.45
41%
Takedown accuracy
20%
17%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anton TurkaljIvan Erslan
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (13%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Ivan Erslan53%
Anton Turkalj 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Erslan a 53% favorite over Anton Turkalj in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1605), separated by just 5 points.

Anton Turkalj enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anton Turkalj finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Erslan 73%.

Anton Turkalj carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.