Antoni Hardonk vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record14-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
240 lbsWeight265 lbs
Dynamix MMATeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1626
If they lose-17→ 1594
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antoni HardonkTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa70%
Antoni Hardonk 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 70% favorite over Antoni Hardonk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antoni Hardonk's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1598), separated by just 13 points.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.