Antonina Shevchenko vs Ariane Lipski da Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record18-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamLioness MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonina ShevchenkoAriane Lipski da Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ariane Lipski da Silva70%
Antonina Shevchenko 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Lipski da Silva a 70% favorite over Antonina Shevchenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1634), separated by just 6 points.
Antonina Shevchenko finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ariane Lipski da Silva 56%.
Antonina Shevchenko and Ariane Lipski da Silva share 1 common opponent: Casey O'Neill.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.