Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonina Shevchenko vs Lucie Pudilová

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record15-11-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Antonina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Lucie Pudilová carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antonina ShevchenkoNow 1628
If they win+14→ 1642
If they lose-18→ 1610
Lucie PudilováNow 1575
If they win+14→ 1589
If they lose-10→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
55%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
53%
Strike defense
50%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.70
43%
Takedown accuracy
32%
54%
Takedown defense
68%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Antonina ShevchenkoLucie Pudilová
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (13%)
6 (60%)
Decision
10 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonina Shevchenko61%
Lucie Pudilová 39%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonina Shevchenko a 61% favorite over Lucie Pudilová in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Antonina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1575, a 53-point edge.

Antonina Shevchenko finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Lucie Pudilová 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.