Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio Braga Neto vs Armen Petrosyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record10-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
77,0"Reach71"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAcademy MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio Braga NetoNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Armen PetrosyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.36
Sig. strikes / min
5.84
33%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
45%
Strike defense
53%
3.07
Takedown avg.
0.17
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
41%
0.51
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antônio Braga NetoArmen Petrosyan
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
7 (78%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Armen Petrosyan58%
Antônio Braga Neto 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Armen Petrosyan a 58% favorite over Antônio Braga Neto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1587), separated by just 4 points.

Antônio Braga Neto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antônio Braga Neto finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Armen Petrosyan 70%.

Antônio Braga Neto carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.