Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio Braga Neto vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

Trevin Giles is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Antônio Braga Neto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antônio Braga NetoNow 1583
If they win+29→ 1612
If they lose-19→ 1564
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-20→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.36
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
33%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
45%
Strike defense
58%
3.07
Takedown avg.
1.07
38%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
72%
0.51
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Antônio Braga NetoTrevin Giles
1600165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
7 (78%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (11%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevin Giles62%
Antônio Braga Neto 38%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevin Giles a 62% favorite over Antônio Braga Neto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Trevin Giles holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1662 to 1583, a 79-point edge.

Antônio Braga Neto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Antônio Braga Neto finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Antônio Braga Neto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.