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Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio Carlos Jr. vs Edmen Shahbazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record17-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
79"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio Carlos Jr.Now 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
Edmen ShahbazyanNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.12
Sig. strikes / min
4.06
42%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
40%
Strike defense
50%
2.92
Takedown avg.
1.43
80%
Takedown accuracy
24%
73%
Takedown defense
67%
2.19
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Antônio Carlos Jr.Edmen Shahbazyan
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
13 (76%)
12 (67%)
Submission
1 (6%)
6 (33%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Edmen Shahbazyan60%
Antônio Carlos Jr. 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edmen Shahbazyan a 60% favorite over Antônio Carlos Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antônio Carlos Jr.'s way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1732), separated by just 0 points.

Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Antônio Carlos Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Edmen Shahbazyan 82%.

Antônio Carlos Jr. carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.