Antônio Carlos Jr. vs Khalid Satuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record14-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
79"Reach-
205 lbsWeight172 lbs
American Top TeamTeamChampion
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Carlos Jr.Khalid Satuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khalid Satuev56%
Antônio Carlos Jr. 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Khalid Satuev a 56% favorite over Antônio Carlos Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1737), separated by just 5 points.
Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Khalid Satuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Antônio Carlos Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Khalid Satuev 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.