Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Fofirca vs Darrius Flowers

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record13-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
-Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio FofircaNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Darrius FlowersNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.35
Not available
Strike defense
42%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.65
Not available
Takedown accuracy
11%
Not available
Takedown defense
67%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Antonio FofircaDarrius Flowers
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
1 (25%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (25%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrius Flowers65%
Antonio Fofirca 35%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 65% favorite over Antonio Fofirca in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1570), separated by just 4 points.

Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Darrius Flowers 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.