Antonio McKee vs Chris Duncan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-2Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1649 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio McKeeChris Duncan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Duncan70%
Antonio McKee 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Duncan a 70% favorite over Antonio McKee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio McKee's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1723), separated by just 2 points.
Antonio McKee enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Antonio McKee finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Chris Duncan 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.