Antonio McKee vs Chris Padilla
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-2Record18-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1649 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio McKeeChris Padilla
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Padilla84%
Antonio McKee 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Padilla a 84% favorite over Antonio McKee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio McKee's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1724), separated by just 1 points.
Antonio McKee enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Padilla enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Antonio McKee finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Chris Padilla 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.