Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'1"
79"Reach79"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
LG SystemTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Mansur Abdul-Malik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Antonio Trócoli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+22→ 1563
If they lose-10→ 1531
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1688
If they win+10→ 1698
If they lose-22→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
24%
Strike defense
46%
0.79
Takedown avg.
1.65
10%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
83%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliMansur Abdul-Malik
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
5 (42%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik92%
Antonio Trócoli 8%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 92% favorite over Antonio Trócoli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Mansur Abdul-Malik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1541, a 147-point edge.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mansur Abdul-Malik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.