Combat Edge Intelligence

Aoriqileng vs Josias Musasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aoriqileng
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Aoriqileng

“Mongolian Murderer”

26-13-0BantamweightUFC

1620Solid
Josias Musasa
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Josias Musasa

“The K.O. Wizard”

8-2-0BantamweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AoriqilengNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Josias MusasaNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
47%
Strike defense
36%
1.11
Takedown avg.
0.90
27%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
81%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

AoriqilengJosias Musasa
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (35%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
1 (4%)
Submission
0 (0%)
16 (62%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aoriqileng and Josias Musasa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Josias Musasa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aoriqileng finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Josias Musasa 88%.

Josias Musasa carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.