Combat Edge Intelligence

Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aoriqileng
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Aoriqileng

“Mongolian Murderer”

26-13-0BantamweightUFC

1620Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamJapan Top Team

What's at stake

Kai Asakura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Aoriqileng carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

AoriqilengNow 1620
If they win+15→ 1635
If they lose-9→ 1611
Kai AsakuraNow 1717
If they win+9→ 1726
If they lose-15→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
50%
Strike accuracy
33%
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.53
47%
Strike defense
52%
1.11
Takedown avg.
0
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
50%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

AoriqilengKai Asakura
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (35%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
1 (4%)
Submission
3 (14%)
16 (62%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Asakura71%
Aoriqileng 29%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Asakura a 71% favorite over Aoriqileng in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Kai Asakura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1717 to 1620, a 97-point edge.

Aoriqileng finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Kai Asakura 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.