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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aoriqileng vs Shohei Nose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aoriqileng
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Aoriqileng

“Mongolian Murderer”

26-14-0BantamweightUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

26-14-0Record12-5-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamMaster Japan Fukuoka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AoriqilengNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597
Shohei NoseNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
47%
Strike defense
53%
1.11
Takedown avg.
3.23
27%
Takedown accuracy
17%
60%
Takedown defense
0%
0.16
Submission avg.
4.85

Trajectory

AoriqilengShohei Nose
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (35%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
1 (4%)
Submission
8 (67%)
16 (62%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Aoriqileng69%
Shohei Nose 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aoriqileng a 69% favorite over Shohei Nose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Aoriqileng enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aoriqileng finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Shohei Nose 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.