Apollo Gomes vs Raulian Paiva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record23-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Evolucao Fight TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Apollo GomesRaulian Paiva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raulian Paiva61%
Apollo Gomes 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raulian Paiva a 61% favorite over Apollo Gomes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Apollo Gomes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.
Apollo Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Apollo Gomes finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Raulian Paiva 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.