Arash Sadeghi vs Paul Elliott
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Arash Sadeghi55%
Paul Elliott 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Arash Sadeghi a 55% favorite over Paul Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.
Arash Sadeghi finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-2-1Record8-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach76.4"
256 lbsWeight246 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arash SadeghiPaul Elliott