Combat Edge Intelligence

Arata Mizuno vs Isaac Dulgarian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
-Reach 71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
FreelanceTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arata MizunoNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Isaac DulgarianNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
64%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.82
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.15
TBD
Takedown accuracy
53%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.06

Trajectory

Arata MizunoIsaac Dulgarian
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
1 (11%)
Submission
3 (43%)
6 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Arata Mizuno61%
Isaac Dulgarian 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arata Mizuno a 61% favorite over Isaac Dulgarian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Isaac Dulgarian's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.

Arata Mizuno finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Dulgarian 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.