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Combat Edge Intelligence

Archie Colgan vs Mason Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mason Jones
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Mason Jones

“The Dragon”

18-3-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

13-1-0Record18-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Archie ColganNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Mason JonesNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.98
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.48
Not available
Takedown accuracy
29%
Not available
Takedown defense
74%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Archie ColganMason Jones
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (17%)
7 (54%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Mason Jones52%
Archie Colgan 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 52% favorite over Archie Colgan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Archie Colgan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1734), separated by just 0 points.

Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.

Mason Jones carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.