Combat Edge Intelligence

Archie Colgan vs Michael Chandler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-1-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Archie ColganNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Michael ChandlerNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1772 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.52
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.96
TBD
Takedown accuracy
41%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Archie ColganMichael Chandler
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
1 (8%)
Submission
7 (30%)
7 (54%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Archie Colgan70%
Michael Chandler 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Archie Colgan a 70% favorite over Michael Chandler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1732), separated by just 2 points.

Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chandler 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.