Aria Azarnoosh vs Václav Štěpán
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Václav Štěpán is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Aria Azarnoosh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Václav Štěpán a 89% favorite over Aria Azarnoosh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Václav Štěpán holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1498, a 129-point edge.
Václav Štěpán enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Aria Azarnoosh finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Václav Štěpán 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.