Ariane Carnelossi vs Ayaka Miura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record16-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
61"Reach64.2"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeamTribe Tokyo MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane CarnelossiAyaka Miura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ariane Carnelossi and Ayaka Miura within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.
Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ariane Carnelossi finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Ayaka Miura 69%.
Ayaka Miura carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.