Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariane Carnelossi vs Magdalena Czaban

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record5-0-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'1"
61"Reach-
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Inside Muay Thai· 1670 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Academy Krakow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ariane CarnelossiNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Magdalena CzabanNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
1.08
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
23%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.22
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ariane CarnelossiMagdalena Czaban
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
2 (14%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (21%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Magdalena Czaban72%
Ariane Carnelossi 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magdalena Czaban a 72% favorite over Ariane Carnelossi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ariane Carnelossi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.

Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magdalena Czaban enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Ariane Carnelossi finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Magdalena Czaban 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.