Ariane Carnelossi vs Na Liang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record20-8-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'9"
61"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeamLongyun MMA Gym
What's at stake
Ariane Carnelossi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Na Liang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1640
If they lose-17→ 1608
If they win+13→ 1607
If they lose-11→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane CarnelossiNa Liang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ariane Carnelossi61%
Na Liang 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Carnelossi a 61% favorite over Na Liang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Ariane Carnelossi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1594, a 31-point edge.
Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ariane Carnelossi finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Na Liang 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.