Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariane Carnelossi vs Saori Oshima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Saori Oshima
jp

Saori Oshima

“Little Giant”

17-7-0StrawweightRFF

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record17-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height4'11"
61"Reach57"
115 lbsWeight107 lbs
Inside Muay Thai· 1671 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamReversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· 1638 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ariane CarnelossiNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Saori OshimaNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
39%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
44%
Strike defense
Not available
1.08
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
23%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.22
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ariane CarnelossiSaori Oshima
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
2 (14%)
Submission
10 (59%)
3 (21%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ariane Carnelossi67%
Saori Oshima 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Carnelossi a 67% favorite over Saori Oshima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.

Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Saori Oshima enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ariane Carnelossi finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Saori Oshima 71%.

Ariane Carnelossi carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.