Ariane Carnelossi vs Saori Oshima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record17-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height4'11"
61"Reach57"
115 lbsWeight107 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeamReversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane CarnelossiSaori Oshima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Saori Oshima67%
Ariane Carnelossi 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Saori Oshima a 67% favorite over Ariane Carnelossi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.
Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Saori Oshima enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ariane Carnelossi finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Saori Oshima 71%.
Ariane Carnelossi carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.