Ariane Lipski da Silva vs Dione Barbosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record10-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach 66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lioness MMATeamKings MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane Lipski da SilvaDione Barbosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dione Barbosa71%
Ariane Lipski da Silva 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dione Barbosa a 71% favorite over Ariane Lipski da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ariane Lipski da Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1634), separated by just 0 points.
Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Dione Barbosa 50%.
Ariane Lipski da Silva and Dione Barbosa share 2 common opponents: Jena Bishop and Melissa Gatto.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.