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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariane Lipski da Silva vs Dione Barbosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record10-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach 66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lioness MMATeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ariane Lipski da SilvaNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
Dione BarbosaNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.40
51%
Strike defense
64%
0.47
Takedown avg.
2.40
38%
Takedown accuracy
8%
68%
Takedown defense
64%
0.28
Submission avg.
1.74

Trajectory

Ariane Lipski da SilvaDione Barbosa
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (22%)
Submission
5 (50%)
8 (44%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ariane Lipski da Silva64%
Dione Barbosa 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Lipski da Silva a 64% favorite over Dione Barbosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dione Barbosa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1635), separated by just 2 points.

Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Dione Barbosa 50%.

Ariane Lipski da Silva and Dione Barbosa share 2 common opponents: Jena Bishop and Melissa Gatto.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (Split) · 2023
Melissa Gatto
WinDecision (majority) · 2026
LossSubmission · 2026
Jena Bishop
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2021