Ariane Lipski da Silva vs Isabela de Padua
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record7-5-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'4"
67"Reach36,0"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lioness MMATeamTeam Nikolai MMA
What's at stake
Ariane Lipski da Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Isabela de Padua carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1643
If they lose-15→ 1619
If they win+21→ 1553
If they lose-11→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane Lipski da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ariane Lipski da Silva67%
Isabela de Padua 33%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Lipski da Silva a 67% favorite over Isabela de Padua in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Ariane Lipski da Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1532, a 102-point edge.
Isabela de Padua enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Isabela de Padua 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.