Ariane Lipski da Silva vs Luana Carolina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record11-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight128 lbs
Lioness MMATeamCapital da Luta
What's at stake
Ariane Lipski da Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Luana Carolina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1645
If they lose-13→ 1621
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-15→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane Lipski da SilvaLuana Carolina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ariane Lipski da Silva51%
Luana Carolina 49%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Lipski da Silva a 51% favorite over Luana Carolina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ariane Lipski da Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1615, a 19-point edge.
Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Luana Carolina 36%.
Luana Carolina carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.