Arijan Topallaj vs Cam Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-1Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
163 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet Eater· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie PEI
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
If they win+24→ 1680
If they lose-24→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arijan TopallajCam Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arijan Topallaj58%
Cam Nelson 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 58% favorite over Cam Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1656), separated by just 0 points.
Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Cam Nelson enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Cam Nelson 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.