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Combat Edge Intelligence

Arijan Topallaj vs Nikolay Veretennikov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-2-1Record14-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach 75"
163 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet Eater· 1648 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arijan TopallajNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Nikolay VeretennikovNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
Not available
Strike accuracy
57%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.42
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Arijan TopallajNikolay Veretennikov
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (20%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikolay Veretennikov58%
Arijan Topallaj 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikolay Veretennikov a 58% favorite over Arijan Topallaj in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Arijan Topallaj's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Veretennikov 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.