Aristides Vinícius vs Ricky Calatayud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-1Record16-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight140 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aristides ViníciusRicky Calatayud
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aristides Vinícius73%
Ricky Calatayud 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aristides Vinícius a 73% favorite over Ricky Calatayud in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.
Aristides Vinícius enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ricky Calatayud enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Aristides Vinícius finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Calatayud 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.