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Combat Edge Intelligence

Arkadiusz Wrzosek vs Dan Evensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'3"
82"ReachTBD
243 lbsWeight252 lbs
Uniq Fight Club· 1583 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arkadiusz WrzosekNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Dan EvensenNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.27
Not available
Strike accuracy
11%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
Not available
Strike defense
38%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
3.99

Trajectory

Arkadiusz WrzosekDan Evensen
15501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Arkadiusz Wrzosek67%
Dan Evensen 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arkadiusz Wrzosek a 67% favorite over Dan Evensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Evensen enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Arkadiusz Wrzosek finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Dan Evensen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.